This briefing considers the changing political situation in Sudan with a particular focus on the future of the Juba Peace Agreement (JPA) and the evolving political and security dynamics in the east of the country. It considers the role the agreement played in exacerbating the unresolved historical and political inter-communal tensions which the transitional government and the Sudanese Revolutionary Front (SRF) were never able to address and which were further exploited by the Mil-TG (military component of the transitional government) to their benefit in the period leading and following the October 2021 coup.

This is the fourth in a series of rapid response updates by the Rift Valley Institute for the UK government’s XCEPT (Cross-Border Conflict Evidence, Policy and Trends) programme. You can visit the previous series updates; ‘What Next for the Juba Peace Agreement?’, ‘What Next for the Juba Peace Agreement? Evolving political and security dynamics in Darfur’ and What's Next for the Juba Peace Agreement? Evolving Political and Security Dynamics in the Two Areas.